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There will not be a uniform nationwide peak in Kovid-19 cases: Expert | India news

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A major health expert from India said that in a large country like India, there may not be a uniform peak in Kovid-19 cases, when people there are exposed to infection, they have their own trajectory.
Shikhar can be seen at the end of this month or early August in states like Delhi, while other places such as Tamil Nadu, Maharashtra and Karnataka may be around September, Director of the Indian Institute of Public Health (IIPH) Prof. GVS Murthy said. .
IIPH was established under the aegis of Public Health Foundation of India (PHFI).
He said that states like Jharkhand may take longer as the proliferation has started only after the return of migrant laborers.
“So, each state has its own trajectory, when people are exposed to infection in that particular state. There is not going to be a uniform peak for the country. There are going to be many peaks in the country.” He told PTI.
For example, it seems that a large number of cases were suddenly coming up in Bihar, after all those who moved to other cities, especially Mumbai and Delhi, started returning.
A Kovid-19 person takes about 10–14 days to infect others in their families and then the next wave of cases will occur, Murthy, who founded and led the first community ophthalmology department in the public sector in the country – India. As of 2010, the Institute of Medical Sciences said.
He said the government needed to continue measures to combat the virus and the community should also strictly follow preventive guidelines such as washing hands and maintaining physical distance, he said and taking intensive steps in densely populated areas Insisted.
States such as Jharkhand (currently 7,564 cases), Chhattisgarh (6,819) and parts of eastern Uttar Pradesh have also reported very few cases before, but the spread will begin when migrants have now returned to their homes.
“The peak will take longer. It will be somewhere in late September or October that states that previously had less reporting will peak,” he said.
But, states like Haryana, Telangana, Karnataka, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu should be able to get maximum cases by mid-September, he said.
All these states which were now reporting in large numbers should not get the numbers beyond mid-September.
Some states should achieve peak by mid-August. For example, Delhi is on a path where by the end of this month or early August, it can be said that the peak has been crossed, he said.
He said the same can happen with Rajasthan and Punjab and other states including Maharashtra, Karnataka, Telangana and Andhra Pradesh may reach the peak in September.
The summit should arrive in Tamil Nadu by the middle or third week of August, said Murthy, who worked at the World Health Organization (WHO) on the Childhood Health Organization.
He said governments needed to continue to take measures to combat the virus as the health system would become heavier if cases suddenly increase and if the states are unpublished.
Such a scenario was seen in Mumbai and others, said the expert, who was a UNAIDS consultant with the National AIDS Control Organization (NACO).
“Kerala, you have seen now. He felt that he had seen the end of Kovid. Suddenly, in the last 10 days, there have been a lot more cases in Kerala than before,” he said.
Complete monitoring was required in densely populated areas and rapid steps should be taken if there is a sudden increase in cases.
Three tests, track and treatment, he said, were important to reduce infection and slip into serious complications.
The health expert said that the community should follow precautions, including wearing masks, washing hands and maintaining physical distance.
If anyone has any suspicion of infection, they should seek medical attention immediately. Should avoid collecting.
He said, “As a community, we cannot put full emphasis on the government. As a community, it is our responsibility (to take precautions).”
At the government level, Murthy suggested arranging for a mobile lab to take samples (to avoid overcrowding) in a city like Hyderabad, instead of people coming to certain places to give samples.
Community health centers can be strengthened with some beds with oxygen supply facilities to care for Kovid for the treatment of needy patients.
People with severe respiratory illness should be transferred to large tertiary hospitals, he said, focusing on saving lives.


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